Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.178432 0.211894 0.249429 0.294584 0.347364 0.407036 0.479545
2025-06-01 0.129817 0.172906 0.226553 0.297966 0.390224 0.505050 0.658430
2025-06-08 0.097826 0.142161 0.201877 0.287612 0.406868 0.566094 0.793865
2025-06-15 0.081806 0.127699 0.193614 0.294225 0.442735 0.652428 0.969103
2025-06-22 0.068829 0.114473 0.183849 0.295580 0.469239 0.726584 1.133743
2025-06-29 0.057659 0.101647 0.172060 0.291132 0.485042 0.785145 1.280136
2025-07-06 0.048926 0.091045 0.161774 0.286870 0.499470 0.841751 1.427993
2025-07-13 0.044533 0.086997 0.161428 0.298441 0.540266 0.943390 1.657078
2025-07-20 0.042301 0.086382 0.166718 0.320045 0.600039 1.081592 1.959721
2025-07-27 0.039171 0.083516 0.167445 0.333325 0.646324 1.200987 2.241403
2025-08-03 0.034706 0.077272 0.160940 0.332165 0.665931 1.275152 2.450167
2025-08-10 0.029675 0.069022 0.149359 0.319604 0.662389 1.306724 2.584191
2025-08-17 0.024810 0.060523 0.136517 0.303752 0.652450 1.328891 2.710144
2025-08-24 0.022325 0.056913 0.133362 0.307521 0.682412 1.430800 3.000321
2025-08-31 0.019079 0.050912 0.124099 0.296877 0.681165 1.471124 3.173561
2025-09-07 0.017516 0.048684 0.122892 0.303693 0.717583 1.590557 3.517271
2025-09-14 0.015795 0.045731 0.119536 0.305089 0.742167 1.687773 3.824381
2025-09-21 0.013954 0.042104 0.113990 0.300507 0.752601 1.755803 4.076127
2025-09-28 0.012363 0.038846 0.108841 0.296115 0.762816 1.824136 4.334829
2025-10-05 0.011720 0.038157 0.110162 0.308037 0.813177 1.986543 4.816832
2025-10-12 0.011557 0.038856 0.115250 0.330294 0.891242 2.219182 5.478389
2025-10-19 0.011031 0.038351 0.116995 0.343973 0.949442 2.411149 6.063454
2025-10-26 0.009998 0.036057 0.113407 0.342779 0.969599 2.515151 6.452009